Music · resolved market
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8bc1ef6fe8238159d70e0ff55541d543c5555d3fa0424dcd839a97bdd3f7a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $399,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,255$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,171$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…7de4backed Yes | 1c | 3,978$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 9c | 3,183$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692d…701bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…839dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,710$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…a042backed Yes | 4c | 2,584$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 1,949$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…6a46backed Yes | 7c | 1,784$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Yes | 2c | 604.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…46dfbacked Yes | 5c | 371.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…1b78backed Yes | 14c | 361.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…3907backed Yes | 4c | 286.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 7c | 284.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…d7f2backed Yes | 9c | 276.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…3352backed Yes | 5c | 238$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b7…d0b1backed Yes | 8c | 145.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…9a83backed Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?this page
- Will APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will Abracadabra by Lady Gaga be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will BAILE INoLVIDABLE by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will BIRDS OF A FEATHER by Billie Eilish be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?Yes won
- Will Don’t Say You Love Me by Jin be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will EoO by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will La Plena by W Sound be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will NUEVAYoL by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
- Will VOY A LLeVARTE PA PR by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.