La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427cc46783cbcb10808637958959c1ffb1f6b60fa67cb4ff153117ab82927c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,250 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 55c | 34,965$19,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,230.83 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 33,484$18,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,926.16 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 44c | 15,870$6,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,887.06 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 8,290$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891.13 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 4,070$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.14 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 55c | 3,994$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 3,936$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.63 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 42c | 2,990$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.14 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 45c | 2,604$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 44c | 2,445$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.03 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 15c | 2,325$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.96 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,989$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.41 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 31c | 1,969$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 1,556$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.35 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 54c | 1,272$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 47c | 1,263$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.95 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…489fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,086$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 54c | 891.7$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.93 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 51c | 841.38$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 45c | 839.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.88 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 58c | 721$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…48e4backed Yes | 54c | 687.44$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947f…1543backed Yes | 54c | 652.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 42c | 594.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.14 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 42c | 594.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.07 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Yes | 54c | 558.9$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 42c | 522.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 72c | 512$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes | 5c | 478.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 68c | 430.25$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 47c | 419.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.69 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 388.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.22 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 45c | 373.09$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 58c | 368.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 32c | 364.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.54 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 46c | 360$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…2b38backed Yes | 29c | 346.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 58c | 336.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 291.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Yes | 57c | 258.11$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 32c | 249.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 46c | 242.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 46c | 239.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 46c | 234.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 40c | 203.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 55c | 196.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 53c | 190.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 43c | 190$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 53c | 188.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 54c | 186.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…4b39backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 31c | 179.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 57c | 176.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…9d2cbacked Yes | 58c | 167.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 43c | 155$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 42c | 152.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 46c | 151.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked No | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 46c | 141.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 55c | 135.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 46c | 135.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 43c | 135.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 47c | 129.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 39c | 128.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 47c | 121.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 46c | 118.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…792fbacked Yes | 54c | 118.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?this page
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.