La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedd44b5d7efb103657f7945ceff2f9c20a5e386439209b1556207d5bac62a79d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,201$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,176$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 583.36$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 20c | 522$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 17c | 271.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 21c | 265.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 21c | 203.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 20c | 186$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 179.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked Yes | 23c | 170.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 22c | 164$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 22c | 86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 78c | 51.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked No | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed No | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6024…d4f0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed No | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed No | 79c | 35.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-17?Yes won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.