Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f61bf14dc2f125258b592418943f26f547c8ef8b001aabb2761d2ad4f9160d

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Qarabağ Ağdam FKof Chelsea FC, Qarabağ Ağdam FK
Resolved: Nov 5, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,205 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5c81…e258backed Chelsea FC	50c	20,723$10,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,361.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	50c	16,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,000	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	50c	11,111$5,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,555.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,099.94	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC	49c	7,125$3,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,464.66	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Chelsea FC	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	48c	2,775$1,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,442.01	176	58.5%103 W · 73 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.93	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Chelsea FC	52c	1,688$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871	109	31.2%34 W · 75 L	-9.7wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	48c	1,685$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.34	178	53.9%96 W · 82 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Chelsea FC	47c	1,187$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.07	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	150	32.7%49 W · 101 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	47c	717.41$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.23	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+9.0wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd479…2692backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	52c	657.94$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.81	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Chelsea FC	52c	641.87$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.77	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Chelsea FC	51c	600$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.42	138	47.1%65 W · 73 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Chelsea FC	52c	577.08$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	117	35.9%42 W · 75 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79e8…1969backed Chelsea FC	52c	572.82$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.91	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Chelsea FC	53c	570.8$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.41	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Chelsea FC	50c	530$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	164	47.6%78 W · 86 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Chelsea FC	49c	515.79$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.74	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Chelsea FC	52c	450$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Chelsea FC	53c	420.72$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.98	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Chelsea FC	51c	413.73$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-9.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	51c	375.52$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	210	37.1%78 W · 132 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Chelsea FC	53c	361.73$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Chelsea FC	51c	308.7$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.39	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	48c	307.69$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c4…501bbacked Chelsea FC	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.25per pick	52cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	48c	289.66$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.11	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Chelsea FC	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74b4…b283backed Chelsea FC	51c	270.59$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.26per pick	62cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Chelsea FC	53c	247.23$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.03	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52de…03b8backed Chelsea FC	51c	235.43$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.07	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Chelsea FC	52c	201.92$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f57…0319backed Chelsea FC	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Chelsea FC	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+28%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Chelsea FC	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Chelsea FC	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Chelsea FC	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	51.3%41 W · 39 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Chelsea FC	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Chelsea FC	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc2…d923backed Chelsea FC	51c	194.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6995…2e97backed Chelsea FC	24c	191.67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	46c	188.8$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.95	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Chelsea FC	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	75c	177.67$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.04	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f45…5e8fbacked Chelsea FC	53c	174.85$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.67	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.8wins	-0.32per pick	45cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	47c	150$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.5	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Chelsea FC	51c	147.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5962…2446backed Chelsea FC	51c	141.18$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7386…b839backed Chelsea FC	51c	141.18$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Chelsea FC	49c	139.98$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.59	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Chelsea FC	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…7b7bbacked Chelsea FC	52c	115.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Chelsea FC	51c	111.76$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	52c	105.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Chelsea FC	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc88f…987abacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Chelsea FC	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Chelsea FC	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Chelsea FC	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	201	33.8%68 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b5…4425backed Chelsea FC	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Chelsea FC	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Chelsea FC	53c	93.38$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	98	41.8%41 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Chelsea FC	51c	89.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.89	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc109…cc36backed Chelsea FC	51c	88.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.06	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Chelsea FC	52c	86.54$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed9…2deebacked Chelsea FC	51c	82.35$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0461…c7cebacked Chelsea FC	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	48c	79.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.3	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Chelsea FC	48c	77.96$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…3a06backed Chelsea FC	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Chelsea FC	52c	71.75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	69	58%40 W · 29 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Chelsea FC	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-5.5wins	-0.31per pick	47cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Chelsea FC	53c	58.63$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.88	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x197e…259abacked Chelsea FC	53c	58.3$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68df…d099backed Chelsea FC	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1761…502abacked Chelsea FC	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Chelsea FC	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Chelsea FC	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	149	47%70 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Chelsea FC	52c	47.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Chelsea FC	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95db…dc65backed Chelsea FC	50c	42.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Chelsea FC	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Chelsea FC	51c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd1…8deebacked Chelsea FC	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.25per pick	52cpaid	-47%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Chelsea FC	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…0751backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	32cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK	51c	38.96$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.96	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x535d…6ff7backed Chelsea FC	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a8…8d58backed Chelsea FC	51c	33.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.33	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc8…2feebacked Chelsea FC	52c	32.86$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Chelsea FC	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)this page
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event