Champions League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1fbccd13eda11643f887c528df6ff8434c2930d72eaca205367da482eb24ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 44c | 22,769$10,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,753.93 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Under | 56c | 20,706$11,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,593.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.97 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 15,884$7,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,859.41 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 57c | 2,805$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.83 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 57c | 1,573$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.79 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 40c | 723.43$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.06 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 51c | 536.3$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Under | 60c | 500.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 443.99$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 41c | 430.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 62c | 351.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 47c | 318.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.79 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Over | 43c | 288.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d8c3backed Under | 35c | 275$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bfcdbacked Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 43c | 175.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Under | 59c | 168.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Over | 45c | 163.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +47%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Under | 36c | 136.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab46…2296backed Over | 53c | 111.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…7eaabacked Under | 33c | 100.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 55c | 89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…2deebacked Over | 43c | 86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Under | 61c | 78.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…2687backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 44c | 68.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 39c | 65.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…0512backed Over | 42c | 65.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 43c | 51.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…45bdbacked Over | 43c | 37.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…c110backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…33d4backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…c7a1backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.