Champions League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e899edf7404502b9fe810fe323696aec523e37fbeb2ea95eec9c2810d1200b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0daf…d74cbacked No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 55c | 2,950$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.5 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.83 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed No | 49c | 406$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 345.32$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.21 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 236.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bfcdbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Yes | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 55c | 182.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…73bcbacked Yes | 55c | 173.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 47c | 148.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 55c | 94.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…2deebacked No | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 55c | 70.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…30d5backed Yes | 54c | 46.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 54c | 46.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…b6eabacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…25acbacked No | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…2d02backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 32.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…0591backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.