Tennis · resolved market
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf235e7e5bcaa0d9e4bb12e7851ce84166c47be3d2d2a2365efa1a0ee6bccd31e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $990,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,154,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $990,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74ba…eba1backed Minaur | 8c | 48,976$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Minaur | 7c | 42,649$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.45 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Minaur | 6c | 37,442$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.95 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Minaur | 7c | 26,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Minaur | 6c | 21,827$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.58 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Minaur | 7c | 20,992$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.42 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Minaur | 2c | 18,966$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Minaur | 8c | 16,845$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.66 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked Minaur | 6c | 15,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…4edabacked Minaur | 0c | 13,282$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Minaur | 5c | 12,666$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.42 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Minaur | 9c | 12,153$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Minaur | 7c | 11,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.92 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Minaur | 7c | 11,535$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Minaur | 9c | 11,085$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Minaur | 6c | 11,000$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Minaur | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Minaur | 8c | 10,000$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.38 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Minaur | 6c | 9,584$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.87 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Minaur | 7c | 9,229$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.09 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Minaur | 6c | 7,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Minaur | 6c | 6,875$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.51 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Minaur | 0c | 6,624$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Minaur | 7c | 6,368$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.43 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Minaur | 10c | 5,805$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.12 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Minaur | 1c | 5,738$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Minaur | 0c | 5,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Minaur | 8c | 5,222$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minaur | 9c | 5,207$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Minaur | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minaur | 9c | 4,455$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.56 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Minaur | 8c | 4,445$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.58 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Minaur | 3c | 4,400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1e17backed Minaur | 8c | 4,264$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2c…7774backed Minaur | 6c | 4,160$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Minaur | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Minaur | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Minaur | 10c | 3,808$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.66 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Minaur | 10c | 3,767$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…1192backed Minaur | 7c | 3,182$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Minaur | 8c | 2,828$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…8b96backed Minaur | 5c | 2,790$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Minaur | 8c | 2,764$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Minaur | 8c | 2,641$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Minaur | 7c | 2,479$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minaur | 7c | 2,392$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Minaur | 9c | 2,338$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Minaur | 7c | 2,329$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Minaur | 8c | 2,325$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Minaur | 4c | 2,288$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca6…a621backed Minaur | 3c | 2,190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…61c8backed Minaur | 8c | 2,125$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Minaur | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed Minaur | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Minaur | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Minaur | 7c | 1,934$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Minaur | 9c | 1,912$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Minaur | 6c | 1,843$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Minaur | 8c | 1,761$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 305 | 44.9%137 W · 168 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Minaur | 10c | 1,584$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…05f5backed Minaur | 8c | 1,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Minaur | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Minaur | 8c | 1,470$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Minaur | 1c | 1,442$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Minaur | 1c | 1,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Minaur | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Minaur | 7c | 1,399$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…7ff4backed Minaur | 8c | 1,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Minaur | 8c | 1,263$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…6cafbacked Minaur | 6c | 1,261$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Minaur | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…11c3backed Minaur | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Minaur | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Minaur | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…c514backed Minaur | 7c | 1,220$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Minaur | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Minaur | 7c | 1,040$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 483 | 52.2%252 W · 231 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Minaur | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Minaur | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Minaur | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…d868backed Minaur | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Minaur | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…da8abacked Minaur | 7c | 999.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Minaur | 2c | 999.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Minaur | 10c | 999.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Minaur | 6c | 899.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…5be0backed Minaur | 8c | 868.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Minaur | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Minaur | 9c | 805.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…d239backed Minaur | 7c | 801.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Minaur | 10c | 769$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Minaur | 11c | 754.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minaur | 8c | 730.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Minaur | 7c | 722.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Minaur | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Minaur | 3c | 686$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Minaur | 6c | 623.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Minaur | 7c | 621.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Minaur | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Minaur | 10c | 572.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs MinaurSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.