TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open de Moselle: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Altmaierof Gaston, Altmaier
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Gaston22c16,827$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,760.124544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Gaston2c14,583$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.988313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Altmaier36c14,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,899.9866949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gaston64c12,302$7,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,815.848,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Gaston76c11,771$8,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,918.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gaston24c8,852$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.26,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Altmaier79c7,619$6,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.652944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gaston68c5,833$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,977.8911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Altmaier48c5,189$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.5522629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Altmaier46c4,273$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.2210060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Altmaier52c4,217$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Gaston58c3,994$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.762,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Altmaier40c3,885$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.328530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Gaston57c3,858$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.6216644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Altmaier60c3,326$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec70…3a28backed Gaston51c3,277$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Altmaier32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc374…46f4backed Gaston75c2,878$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240c…bd0dbacked Altmaier22c2,782$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+345.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Gaston18c2,692$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6410845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Gaston11c2,692$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.862722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c42…3307backed Altmaier49c2,561$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…6606backed Altmaier49c2,436$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ba…3669backed Altmaier49c2,362$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe26e…605ebacked Gaston51c2,259$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…b557backed Gaston51c2,253$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Gaston53c2,036$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.4311343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9646…bf2bbacked Altmaier49c1,951$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…3ceabacked Altmaier48c1,880$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Gaston54c1,759$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.853941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa45a…7c80backed Gaston52c1,660$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0088…5f72backed Altmaier69c1,633$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Gaston21c1,575$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2523852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64fa…220dbacked Gaston51c1,521$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Gaston18c1,499$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7143948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fb1…e083backed Altmaier48c1,498$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…5841backed Altmaier49c1,447$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b85…e867backed Altmaier48c1,440$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gaston52c1,402$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.141,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Gaston1c1,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3d…a84cbacked Gaston52c1,240$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd357…0c39backed Gaston51c1,223$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gaston35c1,195$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.711,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc9…f213backed Altmaier48c1,190$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e9…933fbacked Gaston51c1,159$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.09540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Altmaier49c1,151$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.994630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ed…e937backed Altmaier48c1,070$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick43cpaid+150.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefd5…9a25backed Gaston52c1,020$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+71.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Altmaier80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Altmaier50c1,000$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.6913253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x400f…dd2fbacked Gaston52c980$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c52…2ae6backed Altmaier49c935$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5739…e4dcbacked Altmaier25c913.2$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.91650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Gaston55c912.28$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Altmaier49c902.01$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.0188446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10bb…623ebacked Altmaier49c894$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Altmaier30c833.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.336250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Gaston50c826$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.421,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe0…3eddbacked Gaston52c786$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43d…8e4ebacked Gaston51c781$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Gaston51c761.31$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.7762742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…5c4bbacked Altmaier48c760$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb874…e15ebacked Gaston51c759$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked Gaston54c716.69$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3852420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Altmaier47c706.16$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.168143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Altmaier67c700.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3257645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef33…7794backed Altmaier49c674$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01b…b4bcbacked Altmaier49c646$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.46560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20f5…3b1cbacked Gaston51c620$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09fd…5859backed Altmaier48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Gaston30c597.43$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.533557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6864…7635backed Gaston52c590$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Altmaier67c580.46$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.972462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Altmaier36c557$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.044955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Gaston54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Altmaier48c551.62$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.727836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154d…7332backed Gaston52c550$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b2…9309backed Gaston52c550$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904d…779bbacked Gaston52c550$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Gaston56c535.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Gaston53c530.61$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.227147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe96a…f53bbacked Altmaier48c530$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Gaston54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2709741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked Altmaier25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa25…e09fbacked Altmaier48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…7cb2backed Gaston52c490$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gaston26c486.26$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.492,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Altmaier40c469.98$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.098248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0251…d357backed Gaston52c452$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked Gaston10c432.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.571450%7 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+113.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Altmaier47c430.42$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1259151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Altmaier48c416.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.858065%52 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Gaston53c410.11$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd0…83c1backed Altmaier48c410$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Gaston55c404.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22211647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Gaston30c401.52$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d0…1b91backed Altmaier48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7449…2093backed Gaston52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Gaston52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Gaston12c384$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0611943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.