Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. BC Dubai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c541c672c52ade48f44f3274a6feb0574b240c9a42311d059a8a772a15d83f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, BC Dubai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked BC Dubai | 27c | 1,075$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Valencia | 73c | 696.38$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked BC Dubai | 27c | 638$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia | 68c | 598$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.25 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BC Dubai | 31c | 462$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BC Dubai | 31c | 308.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Valencia | 72c | 218.89$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Valencia | 67c | 143.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Valencia | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed BC Dubai | 32c | 62.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Valencia | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Valencia | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Valencia | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Valencia | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Valencia | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Valencia | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Valencia | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Valencia | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Valencia | 72c | 26.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b9…9003backed Valencia | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.