Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a20681a44106289305f6ed37b708316a12cee300f9b0d7fed16bccc19c586a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Real Madrid, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Real Madrid | 69c | 3,120$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.1 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panathinaikos | 36c | 1,672$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.07 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Panathinaikos | 37c | 1,364$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.78 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…3ad1backed Real Madrid | 69c | 1,259$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid | 66c | 646.1$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.02 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Panathinaikos | 31c | 533.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.92 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Panathinaikos | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Panathinaikos | 34c | 495$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Panathinaikos | 64c | 347.34$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Real Madrid | 25c | 337$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Real Madrid | 33c | 309.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Panathinaikos | 31c | 264.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Real Madrid | 70c | 248.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Real Madrid | 64c | 233.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Real Madrid | 69c | 212.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…1224backed Panathinaikos | 32c | 200$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Panathinaikos | 31c | 177.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Real Madrid | 71c | 176.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed Panathinaikos | 34c | 174.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Real Madrid | 63c | 159.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 158$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Panathinaikos | 34c | 155.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Panathinaikos | 34c | 153$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Panathinaikos | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Panathinaikos | 31c | 149.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Real Madrid | 61c | 148.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Real Madrid | 69c | 147.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Panathinaikos | 33c | 121$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…dafdbacked Real Madrid | 70c | 109.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Real Madrid | 66c | 103$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Panathinaikos | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Real Madrid | 69c | 82.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Panathinaikos | 76c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Real Madrid | 68c | 74.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Panathinaikos | 30c | 67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Panathinaikos | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Panathinaikos | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Real Madrid | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…ce15backed Panathinaikos | 34c | 44.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Real Madrid | 30c | 43.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00e…c564backed Real Madrid | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…c8d1backed Real Madrid | 70c | 40.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5831…8e91backed Panathinaikos | 34c | 37.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Real Madrid | 64c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…bf22backed Real Madrid | 69c | 36.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…d6b9backed Real Madrid | 69c | 35.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8828backed Real Madrid | 70c | 34.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6f…b9bebacked Real Madrid | 68c | 33.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Panathinaikos | 42c | 31.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…b33abacked Real Madrid | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa830…6c81backed Real Madrid | 70c | 25.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Real Madrid | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Real Madrid | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…7ea8backed Real Madrid | 69c | 16.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.