Tennis · resolved market
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Ivan Ivanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f6725f50e03a919814e1258ced8eb31157cd78bb4727af8b5a2de37d0665601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanfmannof Hanfmann, Ivanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ivanov | 6c | 9,783$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.78 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Ivanov | 9c | 5,411$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.46 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ivanov | 1c | 4,686$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ivanov | 4c | 2,847$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Ivanov | 8c | 2,771$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ivanov | 9c | 2,456$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ivanov | 8c | 2,395$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Ivanov | 3c | 1,562$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Ivanov | 9c | 1,500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Ivanov | 9c | 1,137$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Ivanov | 9c | 1,094$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Ivanov | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ivanov | 7c | 814.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Ivanov | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Ivanov | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Ivanov | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Ivanov | 11c | 401.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Ivanov | 11c | 379.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Ivanov | 8c | 312$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Ivanov | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Ivanov | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd34…140dbacked Ivanov | 9c | 277.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Ivanov | 11c | 256.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d3…1f70backed Ivanov | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Ivanov | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…8cb2backed Ivanov | 8c | 244.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Ivanov | 4c | 223.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…7645backed Ivanov | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8033…c774backed Ivanov | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Ivanov | 10c | 197$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Ivanov | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Ivanov | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Ivanov | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Hanfmann | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.