NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x832d7d8c0efa7e8eaa3d01ca557727a647661501ca7b34fa994bb474e10e7074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Flyers, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Flyers | 35c | 33,349$11,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,672.08 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Stars | 65c | 17,500$11,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1cfebacked Stars | 72c | 12,930$9,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…d34fbacked Flyers | 28c | 12,930$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Stars | 65c | 8,995$5,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.25 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 19c | 8,524$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.56 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 65c | 3,383$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.73 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Stars | 78c | 2,559$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.36 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 34c | 2,386$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.2 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 64c | 2,210$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.6 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Stars | 66c | 2,160$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.4 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flyers | 35c | 2,029$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Stars | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stars | 64c | 1,864$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.93 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Flyers | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Stars | 66c | 1,545$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.45 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flyers | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Flyers | 3c | 1,285$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flyers | 34c | 1,272$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.84 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Flyers | 34c | 983.39$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.35 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 65c | 888$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Stars | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Stars | 76c | 658$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Stars | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Flyers | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 76c | 497.58$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Stars | 65c | 461.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Stars | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 77c | 410$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Stars | 66c | 406.44$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flyers | 9c | 390$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 66c | 345$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Stars | 66c | 311.47$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Stars | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flyers | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Stars | 66c | 272.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…9ecdbacked Flyers | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 78c | 218.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Flyers | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 34c | 175$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Flyers | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Flyers | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Flyers | 34c | 159.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Stars | 66c | 159.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Stars | 67c | 157.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Stars | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Stars | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…cba1backed Flyers | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 34c | 136.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Flyers | 34c | 134$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…cd55backed Stars | 66c | 128$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Stars | 66c | 120.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Stars | 66c | 105.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Stars | 65c | 104.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc416…8bd5backed Stars | 66c | 101.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Flyers | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Flyers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Flyers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Flyers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Flyers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Flyers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed Flyers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Flyers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Stars | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Stars | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…080bbacked Flyers | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Stars | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Flyers | 35c | 74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…4617backed Stars | 66c | 60.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e90…8339backed Flyers | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Stars | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c4…909dbacked Flyers | 37c | 51.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Stars | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed Stars | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…2648backed Flyers | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…a3aabacked Stars | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec63…25d2backed Stars | 66c | 44.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…e001backed Flyers | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…b678backed Stars | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…b312backed Flyers | 42c | 43.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Stars | 65c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Stars | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 799 | 56.1%448 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…26bebacked Flyers | 41c | 41.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…d771backed Stars | 65c | 40.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 65c | 39.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…0eb3backed Flyers | 35c | 38.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…4d1fbacked Flyers | 35c | 35.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…41d8backed Flyers | 42c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…a7febacked Stars | 66c | 34.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Flyers | 30c | 33.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…06a4backed Stars | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Stars | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Stars | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…2001backed Stars | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…b07abacked Stars | 64c | 29.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Stars | 67c | 28.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Starsthis page
- Flyers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.