South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b00641afb54f05220333423d6f70be3fee7b73e27bc078492ebdb8bc792fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 26,402$9,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,311.38 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 32c | 22,744$7,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,278.1 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…6a49backed Yes | 64c | 17,146$11,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,112.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 66c | 6,100$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.98 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,586$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 4,076$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 33c | 2,709$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.3 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 38c | 2,049$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.73 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.38 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 61c | 904$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 889.95$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.21 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 65c | 801.26$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.26 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 61c | 326.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 66c | 273$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 237.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 68c | 200.42$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 57c | 174.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…4413backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747e…a528backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 19c | 147.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 33c | 143.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 18c | 137.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Yes | 65c | 115.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 34c | 111$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 66c | 110.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed No | 35c | 101.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf914…4a78backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Yes | 68c | 94.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 34c | 69.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aed…2ef3backed Yes | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 15c | 67.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…fb30backed Yes | 64c | 49.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 32c | 41.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Yes | 63c | 34.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed Yes | 62c | 32.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…fdf3backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…5d15backed Yes | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…f025backed Yes | 69c | 26.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…6b5ebacked Yes | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…5ddabacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278d…7903backed Yes | 68c | 23.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…f670backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…dc85backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8f…9cd1backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…5b43backed Yes | 65c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yes | 66c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will EC Juventude vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.