TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gauffof Gauff, Paolini
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Paolini9c10,503$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.288,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Paolini17c10,000$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.845950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Paolini29c8,500$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.9715048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Paolini27c4,873$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.69546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Paolini23c4,066$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.9622629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Gauff66c3,042$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.211852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Paolini16c3,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Gauff68c2,326$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.4715862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Paolini33c2,200$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.9922344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Paolini12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3764…e02abacked Paolini20c1,783$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.591931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Gauff66c1,661$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.581675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Gauff66c1,504$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.421662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Paolini36c1,500$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.191060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Paolini35c1,417$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Paolini16c1,379$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.752,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Gauff77c1,269$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.416644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Gauff63c1,253$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.59257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Paolini35c1,226$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5755143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Paolini16c1,223$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4537230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Paolini17c1,191$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77dd…926dbacked Paolini18c1,101$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paolini17c1,045$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gauff66c1,018$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.261,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df0…8f4ebacked Paolini13c1,011$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.482339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Paolini35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Paolini30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce46…de22backed Paolini34c963$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x961d…3f6ebacked Gauff66c951$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe93…13b5backed Gauff66c948$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa53f…101cbacked Paolini34c936$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb499…e0c3backed Gauff66c883$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Paolini17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f7…254bbacked Paolini34c876$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdda2…1cc2backed Paolini34c863$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Paolini21c856.18$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8da…e591backed Gauff66c856$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.046100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+114.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Gauff76c825.88$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8875547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Paolini3c780$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4110%0 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Paolini29c758.89$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.381,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Paolini31c700$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Paolini31c660.71$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.240141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Paolini16c633.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Paolini34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a2…4a13backed Paolini28c531.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Paolini16c500.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Gauff65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17528141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd94…822bbacked Paolini5c498.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Paolini38c464.21$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.425722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Gauff66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Gauff64c453.13$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.131353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Paolini38c429.34$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.159149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Gauff67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.522641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Gauff66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0346556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddca…0ddbbacked Gauff67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+308%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f83…7252backed Paolini32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966719.4%13 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Paolini22c300$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d30…3391backed Paolini33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Gauff64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10870465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…d34cbacked Paolini35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Gauff67c282.09$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Gauff66c240.41$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.748148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fd…4533backed Paolini33c230.15$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9510248%49 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Paolini36c225.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6244125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Paolini35c222$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.724340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Paolini19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Gauff65c208.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3388446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Paolini30c208.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1922037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6387…9d9bbacked Paolini35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Paolini34c168.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.31637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Gauff65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2022…04b8backed Gauff66c153.09$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.052576%19 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Gauff66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525076%38 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd7ee…dd42backed Gauff66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Gauff67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.258065%52 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Paolini28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Gauff70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Paolini19c129.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1249632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Gauff68c117.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Paolini33c110.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.615831%18 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Paolini35c110.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.521353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…b24ebacked Paolini26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Gauff66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3412861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc597…4ee7backed Paolini20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.751741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Paolini34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Paolini18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.531819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x185e…7af6backed Gauff65c90.36$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Gauff74c89.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3418460.3%111 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Gauff64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1322965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Paolini38c77.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.531339.9%125 W · 188 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Gauff66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7618957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dd…9889backed Gauff66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762763%17 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc12e…c17abacked Gauff67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+36.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Paolini36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae58…3f01backed Paolini33c68.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.754835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…4aa1backed Paolini16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5341…2b42backed Paolini37c56.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+39.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Paolini33c56.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8318241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Gauff61c54.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.167432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked Paolini20c52.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.