Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1889a02b968d2ec3d5396251daeeab6f684531c9e1c00f91ee35f2ad29174e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 18c | 30,702$5,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,791$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 15c | 1,766$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 71c | 1,128$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 16c | 745$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 31c | 642.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 364.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 18c | 270$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 59c | 242$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 50c | 241.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 215.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 180.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will Coventry City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.