Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd0bd38e6748adeef028f3539235b94c24e9b67b1e15691748a4b2096e5c0cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 53c | 49,343$26,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,191.33 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,337$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 44c | 2,753$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.26 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 1,221$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.8 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…b93ebacked Yes | 44c | 999.6$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 48c | 820$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.71 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 42c | 780.22$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.69 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 46c | 699.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 669.38$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.77 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 57c | 422.41$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…686cbacked Yes | 33c | 365.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 44c | 287.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 213.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 15c | 101.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 47c | 99.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 58c | 85.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 57c | 82.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a5e5backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.