College Football · resolved market
UMass vs. Akron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05efc908f08620038bc9678fabf336379f03216f0efdaa341f0e5751c974e4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akronof UMass, Akron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed UMass | 19c | 69,460$13,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,471.65 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed UMass | 14c | 50,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed UMass | 19c | 49,036$9,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,316.9 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Akron | 79c | 31,539$25,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,531.44 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed UMass | 19c | 30,447$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.7 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked UMass | 19c | 25,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed UMass | 17c | 8,631$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.88 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UMass | 20c | 8,012$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.45 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed UMass | 0c | 6,306$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UMass | 20c | 5,700$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked UMass | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked UMass | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.94 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UMass | 20c | 4,780$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.49 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Akron | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Akron | 80c | 3,925$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.03 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed UMass | 0c | 3,840$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UMass | 22c | 3,654$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.12 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked UMass | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked UMass | 14c | 1,891$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.82 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed UMass | 23c | 1,800$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked UMass | 7c | 1,499$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UMass | 16c | 1,294$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UMass | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed UMass | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked UMass | 11c | 922.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed UMass | 19c | 837.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked UMass | 19c | 555$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed UMass | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed UMass | 22c | 460$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UMass | 21c | 406.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Akron | 79c | 311.51$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed UMass | 23c | 260$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked UMass | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed UMass | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed UMass | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed UMass | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed UMass | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked UMass | 21c | 199.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed UMass | 9c | 198.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked UMass | 8c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Akron | 76c | 114.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UMass | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked UMass | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Akron | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed UMass | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed UMass | 23c | 99.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UMass | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed UMass | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed UMass | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Akron | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UMass | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Akron | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Akron | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d53…3635backed Akron | 78c | 23.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Akron | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UMass vs. Akronthis page
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Akron (-10.5)Akron won
- Spread: Akron (-11.5)Akron won
- Spread: Akron (-12.5)Akron won
- UMass vs. Akron: O/U 50.5Over won
- UMass vs. Akron: O/U 51.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.