College Football · resolved market
Spread: Akron (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d8301025997d5a6ba6d32ccdbf9ffa555e3ad20a518cfd96f9c2aa3955fed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akronof Akron, UMass
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed UMass | 47c | 26,608$12,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,507.49 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Akron | 53c | 13,775$7,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,506.88 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked UMass | 47c | 11,060$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.37 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Akron | 53c | 8,301$4,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.23 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Akron | 52c | 5,229$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.41 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Akron | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Akron | 53c | 3,205$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.04 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UMass | 48c | 2,000$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.49 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Akron | 50c | 1,782$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Akron | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Akron | 53c | 821.7$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.95 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Akron | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Akron | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…f27abacked UMass | 49c | 257.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Akron | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Akron | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Akron | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…d54abacked Akron | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed UMass | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked Akron | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Akron (-10.5)this page
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Akron (-11.5)Akron won
- Spread: Akron (-12.5)Akron won
- UMass vs. AkronAkron won
- UMass vs. Akron: O/U 50.5Over won
- UMass vs. Akron: O/U 51.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.