TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes72c25,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No28c24,976$6,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,993.289450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes73c5,184$3,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.3324047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes72c1,718$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.0464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No27c1,609$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4418650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes76c1,311$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.934,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No23c1,050$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.486950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No24c984.89$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7810329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes71c626$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6513969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No29c599.71$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5114621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No26c501.3$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.652846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes60c303.63$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.876035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No27c299.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9912845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked No31c295$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked No32c272$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed No32c253$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.912454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed No33c240$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.23240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes74c235.2$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.214759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No32c199.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9620945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…b5fcbacked Yes72c198.61$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed No33c185$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.051833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed No32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.252737%10 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed No33c147.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.842937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed No33c146.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.493946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No28c127.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3829946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Yes71c125$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.252445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked No33c119.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked No28c117$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes76c107.34$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6125248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed No33c107$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.312045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No30c90.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.199966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked No30c79.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.812240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed No28c78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.841643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes72c74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.722334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92d3…5ee5backed No28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes67c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.441855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Yes67c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.782650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ec…5c3ebacked No34c66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Yes68c66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6886…7db9backed Yes72c63.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed No33c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.131050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Yes67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81650%8 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No20c59.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Yes67c59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Yes70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Yes67c56.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.555650%28 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5619652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No28c54.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4121842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes70c51.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.461656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Yes67c49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.171369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Yes67c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Yes71c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.771485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+52.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Yes70c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Yes67c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.181758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed No29c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick64cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Yes67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.85875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No27c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1579133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed No33c44.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.33per pick40cpaid+106.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Yes69c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea3f…46a9backed No29c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No27c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Yes69c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4b…c1fbbacked Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Yes72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Yes69c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Yes72c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.316950.7%35 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes68c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.861040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df7…a8edbacked Yes72c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.36850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Yes71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Yes67c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Yes67c34.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Yes67c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.95100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+49.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes54c29.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7323762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked Yes68c29.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes67c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Yes67c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eda…1847backed Yes68c27.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.035149%25 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes71c26.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.577054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Yes67c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Yes67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Yes67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Yes67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Yes67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes65c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Yes67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Yes67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.