La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2025-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b4cdcfb3fc87a0f992fa403695b435a4f7f7d33fa026a2d4d11fc36b1e29b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 11c | 1,324$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 659.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 623.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 13c | 615.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 10c | 416$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 4c | 299.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 13c | 233.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 211.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 10c | 199$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 9c | 189$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 12c | 150.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 10c | 126$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 12c | 112.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…df0bbacked Yes | 11c | 101.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…9d52backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2025-12-15?this page
- Will CD Castellón vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.