NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dd81efcde0a70d0b201b7dd76b2fb72f23b48b698c8e3727285401716917319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $553,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $621,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 984 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Golden Knights | 64c | 100,000$63,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,954.96 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 77c | 42,290$32,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,780.81 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights | 65c | 35,000$22,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Canadiens | 36c | 35,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Canadiens | 36c | 32,550$11,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,888.3 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canadiens | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Canadiens | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canadiens | 35c | 16,846$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950.17 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Canadiens | 44c | 16,533$7,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,188.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Golden Knights | 65c | 15,370$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990.42 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Golden Knights | 24c | 14,022$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.76 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 13,258$8,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,617.88 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Golden Knights | 64c | 9,865$6,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,313.3 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Golden Knights | 64c | 8,995$5,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,756.8 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 8,426$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.79 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 8,257$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.12 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…969dbacked Canadiens | 38c | 6,279$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Canadiens | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.1 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Canadiens | 35c | 5,209$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.06 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb55…c489backed Golden Knights | 62c | 4,989$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Golden Knights | 65c | 4,789$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 35c | 4,142$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.69 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Canadiens | 36c | 3,800$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Canadiens | 36c | 3,543$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.24 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Canadiens | 36c | 3,523$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.43 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 3,000$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.35 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Canadiens | 35c | 3,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Canadiens | 36c | 2,924$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 72c | 2,873$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.77 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canadiens | 36c | 2,493$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 63c | 2,468$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.39 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Golden Knights | 65c | 2,336$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.68 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 1c | 2,323$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Canadiens | 35c | 2,305$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.25 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…aa64backed Canadiens | 37c | 2,300$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens | 36c | 2,169$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.18 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 15c | 2,108$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.05 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Canadiens | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 1,771$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.35 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 71c | 1,655$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.95 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 72c | 1,587$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Canadiens | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29ec…40f1backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…a3ccbacked Canadiens | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…6fd3backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Golden Knights | 7c | 1,142$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,139$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.07 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4086backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 56c | 972.8$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.72 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Canadiens | 36c | 927.78$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.78 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Canadiens | 35c | 911.25$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.31 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…a632backed Golden Knights | 63c | 900$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canadiens | 35c | 843.3$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.47 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…d774backed Golden Knights | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Canadiens | 36c | 799.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canadiens | 35c | 765$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Canadiens | 35c | 750$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Golden Knights | 17c | 739.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Canadiens | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Canadiens | 34c | 700$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Canadiens | 36c | 614$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.96 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Canadiens | 36c | 612.21$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.57 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 612$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…3b40backed Golden Knights | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Canadiens | 37c | 549.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.47 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Golden Knights | 17c | 546.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Canadiens | 36c | 527.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 510.31$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Canadiens | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.35 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Canadiens | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a7…e31cbacked Canadiens | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…a197backed Canadiens | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…735cbacked Canadiens | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fe…9118backed Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…adeebacked Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09e0backed Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…62b4backed Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…7870backed Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…3260backed Canadiens | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…a846backed Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…780abacked Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…10a5backed Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…b3eabacked Canadiens | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a58…cb6abacked Canadiens | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…a012backed Canadiens | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Canadiens | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…fa68backed Canadiens | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…713abacked Golden Knights | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.