South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6982a05149a93d7ba2ba41759bfb6baf6ed0e002af98b38e2f811d0d3418057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 64c | 2,943$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.29 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 2,757$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.06 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 2,320$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,335$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,289$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 1,061$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 36c | 962.64$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.64 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3c83backed No | 67c | 628.36$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 32c | 529.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 37c | 449.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 359.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 37c | 267.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 65c | 186.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…517bbacked Yes | 27c | 166.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 29c | 162.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yes | 28c | 141$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 30c | 130.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 38c | 125.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…cf4cbacked Yes | 32c | 116.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 37c | 109.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…91a0backed No | 71c | 90.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 30c | 84.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 82.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed No | 73c | 78.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 23c | 77.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 26c | 77.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 69c | 73.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…4e43backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 37c | 62.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…b57ebacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc749…e803backed Yes | 32c | 42.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 37c | 40.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes | 29c | 40.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 32.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc1…ec40backed No | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…7b8cbacked No | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…6389backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…7041backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 65c | 18.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…e14cbacked No | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-15?No won
- Will Santos FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.