TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f55…6389

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 62 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3086.7%26 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+54%+$107.92
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$70.93
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$44.21
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$45.39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$29.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44.44
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.01
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$74.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$35.36
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+51%+$15.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$41.86
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$45.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+30.9%+$21.47
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.7%+$37.36
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$38.36
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+89.2%+$14.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+32.5%+$13
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$32.68
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+38.9%+$23.33
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30%+$60
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$50.54
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$51.26
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$50.61
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.82
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.12
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$24.81
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.33
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$22.96
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+30.8%+$26.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.