TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac0d…b006backed Tundra Esports65c19,507$12,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,819.6110661.3%65 W · 41 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex35c14,826$5,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189.2413155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Yandex14c12,400$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.9914840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex35c4,509$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex37c2,585$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.1789440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Team Yandex1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-73.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Yandex33c1,958$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.141055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d0…8449backed Tundra Esports63c1,808$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports73c1,653$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.4323465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex26c1,295$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.722033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd546…cba5backed Team Yandex39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Team Yandex5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Yandex30c838.22$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5855251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0050…2eb8backed Tundra Esports67c750.06$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.622646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports78c742.61$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.62,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Team Yandex25c665.12$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.388411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Team Yandex24c633.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex33c617$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1285851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Tundra Esports65c588.24$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.245078%39 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tundra Esports74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.542576%19 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Yandex6c536.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.116169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Team Yandex34c517.42$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.99126.4%24 W · 67 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Team Yandex9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Team Yandex38c499.85$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.942623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Tundra Esports64c492.91$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4512147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Tundra Esports72c487.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6411452.6%60 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Tundra Esports79c432.28$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.766460.9%39 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Tundra Esports67c419.51$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.514573.3%33 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14815653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Yandex33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13211253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Team Yandex37c391.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.774257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports76c376.92$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9235370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Team Yandex24c359.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.617950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked Tundra Esports70c357.66$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.669544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6659250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Tundra Esports68c295.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.773372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Team Yandex17c294.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2314537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee8…dbb1backed Tundra Esports74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.272560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5780443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Team Yandex14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512755.1%70 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Team Yandex40c249.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Team Yandex37c224.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.256240.3%25 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Yandex34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6834154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports64c175.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3322647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7312868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Tundra Esports63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7319246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Tundra Esports64c156.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4911551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed Team Yandex33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Yandex36c149.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9714039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed Tundra Esports71c141.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.726943.5%30 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Team Yandex39c140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.212229.5%36 W · 86 L-18.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Team Yandex35c137.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2624026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Tundra Esports74c135.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.691650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d16…12d0backed Team Yandex38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex25c129.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3762841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Tundra Esports65c121.89$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.669750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c54…fbe0backed Tundra Esports79c113.56$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick71cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f55…6389backed Tundra Esports76c112.49$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex29c104.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2339936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a20…42c4backed Team Yandex12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6fb…b4a6backed Team Yandex10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick24cpaid+113.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Team Yandex39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63e1…802abacked Team Yandex22c95.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.944325.6%11 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Team Yandex37c81.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Tundra Esports63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Tundra Esports63c79.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.563847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Yandex30c76.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8170236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports68c72.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4554445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b00…7cbbbacked Tundra Esports64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed Tundra Esports65c69.46$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4611157.7%64 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports79c63.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3747660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked Team Yandex35c56.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020339.9%81 W · 122 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3303…9266backed Tundra Esports66c45.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Yandex38c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.177941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Tundra Esports63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.68580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Tundra Esports66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.885874.1%43 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x220b…881abacked Tundra Esports65c33.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.691060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…b5dabacked Tundra Esports63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754678.3%36 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x862b…a6a6backed Team Yandex39c30.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2416…5e55backed Team Yandex39c30.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b8…ecfbbacked Tundra Esports62c30.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…890fbacked Team Yandex38c30.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…ce55backed Tundra Esports63c30.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e15…1e89backed Tundra Esports61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a83…50d3backed Tundra Esports79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick78cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Tundra Esports61c22.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.752437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ea8…02f4backed Tundra Esports62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae1…7dddbacked Tundra Esports64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Tundra Esports78c19.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.128066.3%53 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed Tundra Esports64c15.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7210763.6%68 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9718…dd82backed Tundra Esports64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.638636%31 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.