CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c99b639d985ffee3bf0b18f603422d5a9280779e344d47e7b8f98793a86c811
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Passion UA, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Imperial | 26c | 7,295$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.8 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 26c | 6,589$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.04 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA | 67c | 6,421$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.59 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Passion UA | 61c | 3,679$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.23 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Imperial | 2c | 2,802$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 134 | 16.4%22 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…bfc3backed Passion UA | 62c | 2,022$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Imperial | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Passion UA | 65c | 1,130$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.17 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Passion UA | 63c | 1,001$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.25 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Passion UA | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Passion UA | 73c | 700$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Imperial | 5c | 649.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Imperial | 28c | 646.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Imperial | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…ea5dbacked Imperial | 28c | 575.61$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Imperial | 38c | 515.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Passion UA | 79c | 502.84$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Passion UA | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial | 33c | 499.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Imperial | 33c | 483.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Imperial | 34c | 466.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Passion UA | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Imperial | 46c | 430.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Passion UA | 74c | 393.24$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d17…4e19backed Passion UA | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Imperial | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Passion UA | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…6389backed Imperial | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Imperial | 23c | 135.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Passion UA | 59c | 130.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Passion UA | 66c | 128$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Passion UA | 53c | 120.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Imperial | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Imperial | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Passion UA | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Imperial | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…7a82backed Passion UA | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Imperial | 33c | 79.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Passion UA | 55c | 77.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Passion UA | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 526 | 49%258 W · 268 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Passion UA | 78c | 71.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…ada0backed Passion UA | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Imperial | 37c | 69.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Passion UA | 74c | 65.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Passion UA | 70c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…7613backed Imperial | 30c | 49.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Imperial | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 44.1%127 W · 161 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…9bbebacked Passion UA | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Imperial | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…87c1backed Passion UA | 76c | 33.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f5…8ac9backed Passion UA | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Imperial | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Passion UA | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Passion UA | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…7ed4backed Passion UA | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Passion UA | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)Passion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.