CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004210b5697645abe02689cf2ee1f0847106a53f27eba0f68b4e108b4101fae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Astralis, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $503,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $532,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed NIP | 46c | 114,139$52,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,856.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed NIP | 46c | 78,035$35,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,138.77 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Astralis | 54c | 28,680$15,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,548.41 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NIP | 47c | 27,366$12,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,539.2 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed NIP | 47c | 20,377$9,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis | 53c | 19,376$10,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,269.22 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Astralis | 55c | 18,175$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Astralis | 54c | 16,835$9,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.74 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 51c | 14,574$7,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,405.34 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Astralis | 43c | 14,202$6,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,154.86 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a3a3backed NIP | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Astralis | 19c | 10,513$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.59 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 52c | 10,245$5,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.22 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Astralis | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed NIP | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.87 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Astralis | 54c | 7,973$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.42 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Astralis | 20c | 7,930$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.95 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Astralis | 53c | 7,698$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.94 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Astralis | 55c | 6,565$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.52 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Astralis | 7c | 6,561$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.27 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…5276backed NIP | 46c | 6,496$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 28c | 6,024$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.99 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Astralis | 54c | 5,442$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.92 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Astralis | 51c | 5,219$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.59 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Astralis | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed NIP | 45c | 5,000$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.98 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Astralis | 54c | 4,900$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Astralis | 53c | 4,727$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Astralis | 55c | 4,689$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.95 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 52c | 4,354$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Astralis | 54c | 4,324$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.04 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…7b1bbacked NIP | 49c | 4,140$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis | 54c | 4,048$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Astralis | 54c | 3,502$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.96 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed Astralis | 55c | 3,448$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Astralis | 54c | 3,130$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 12c | 3,075$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.84 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Astralis | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Astralis | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 45c | 2,841$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.17 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 58c | 2,667$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.85 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 39c | 2,593$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.37 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed NIP | 52c | 2,518$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.93 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked NIP | 46c | 2,439$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.13 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Astralis | 53c | 2,327$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.49 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Astralis | 54c | 2,261$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.68 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP | 70c | 2,126$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.63 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Astralis | 75c | 2,012$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Astralis | 45c | 2,006$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked NIP | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Astralis | 54c | 1,972$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.06 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Astralis | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Astralis | 54c | 1,707$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.39 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed NIP | 45c | 1,600$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked Astralis | 55c | 1,438$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 24c | 1,284$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.23 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked NIP | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Astralis | 24c | 1,233$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.2 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked NIP | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 21c | 1,192$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.21 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked NIP | 77c | 1,185$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.43 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 46c | 1,151$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.36 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Astralis | 11c | 1,091$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Astralis | 68c | 1,053$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Astralis | 53c | 1,005$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.42 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…a2d8backed Astralis | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed NIP | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Astralis | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…d919backed Astralis | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…a1e7backed NIP | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed NIP | 41c | 1,000$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed NIP | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed NIP | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Astralis | 54c | 951$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.54 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Astralis | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Astralis | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Astralis | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astralis | 54c | 900$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Astralis | 52c | 899.99$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis | 54c | 888$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.52 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed NIP | 68c | 868.59$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.42 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Astralis | 48c | 812.27$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.91 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Astralis | 47c | 807.08$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astralis | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Astralis | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed Astralis | 52c | 799.99$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…4e57backed Astralis | 53c | 790.57$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed NIP | 39c | 775.51$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.59 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Astralis | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Astralis | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 48c | 737$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.9 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Astralis | 57c | 733.33$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…f197backed Astralis | 14c | 727.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…53fdbacked Astralis | 54c | 717$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed NIP | 48c | 655$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.6 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed NIP | 47c | 641.21$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.84 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…5c3cbacked NIP | 48c | 618.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.