NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc59276dc019a59db03fb0885467ac2569c8e3156eb6a39e84d652c5e5df6753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 7,941$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 55c | 1,834$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 1,453$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.31 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 53c | 1,279$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.78 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9609backed Over | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…b903backed Under | 47c | 899.99$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 872.39$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.47 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 636$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 53c | 566.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 416$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 405$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Over | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 248.07$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 222.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 53c | 215$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 53c | 215$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b2…1e54backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Over | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 9c | 195.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 52c | 188$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 54c | 186.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Over | 54c | 184.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…74ccbacked Over | 55c | 182.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f31…2c4ebacked Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…afd1backed Under | 48c | 142.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…4763backed Over | 53c | 93.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…82c3backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Over | 54c | 49.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 55c | 43.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 66c | 42.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 51c | 38.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…f449backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729f…2184backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Over | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 233.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spurs vs. SunsSuns won
- Spurs vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.