NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb2c108143bc4e787e968a6e4b1c70698945b29b47506b579d0f7682749a4242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Under | 51c | 38,888$19,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,055.02 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 49c | 10,708$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.71 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…6b6cbacked Over | 49c | 7,673$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 47c | 6,615$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.05 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…4a2ebacked Over | 49c | 5,892$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…8cb3backed Over | 49c | 5,441$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,089$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 2,905$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.62 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 48c | 2,172$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.5 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 644.23$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 43c | 592.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 43c | 456$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 119.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 52c | 71.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…3ea8backed Under | 53c | 65.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed Under | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…86a5backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 23.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 235.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spurs vs. SunsSuns won
- Spurs vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.