NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e54a844db70b7123a6b21fb685ae410b60031f97bb842f1cdeaaa99edcff3a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,036$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 51c | 2,731$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.82 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 999.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Over | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 562$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.24 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 430$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 430$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 384.45$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…6bffbacked Over | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Under | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 154$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 147$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 108.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 49c | 39.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…8c9bbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 234.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spurs vs. SunsSuns won
- Spurs vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.