NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x536685f0e3f42c471764b9f84278ce26b419a2debc864483c5a93ff62fa6da4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $514,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Lightning | 43c | 193,645$83,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,973.27 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Panthers | 57c | 123,087$70,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,430.31 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Panthers | 56c | 67,962$38,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,058.85 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 57c | 44,138$25,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,795.49 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 44c | 30,420$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,020.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Panthers | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,250 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 44c | 20,255$8,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,343 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.9 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 56c | 19,428$10,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,866.82 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 44c | 15,553$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,753.37 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Lightning | 43c | 13,893$5,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.14 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 38c | 13,427$5,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114.09 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 57c | 12,468$7,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,081.2 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 57c | 10,683$6,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,065.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Lightning | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Panthers | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers | 57c | 8,995$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.15 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Panthers | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Panthers | 57c | 8,500$4,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.99 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Panthers | 57c | 8,010$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.68 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Panthers | 58c | 6,896$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.68 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 43c | 6,845$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Lightning | 44c | 6,303$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.68 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Lightning | 43c | 5,883$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.71 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Panthers | 38c | 5,534$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.8 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Lightning | 46c | 5,313$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.58 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Panthers | 40c | 4,955$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.01 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 70c | 4,915$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.33 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panthers | 34c | 4,334$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.18 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lightning | 43c | 4,328$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.86 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Panthers | 54c | 4,143$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.2 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Panthers | 57c | 4,134$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lightning | 43c | 4,081$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.4 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 57c | 3,950$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.5 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lightning | 45c | 3,474$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.74 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Panthers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Panthers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Panthers | 16c | 2,525$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 28c | 2,379$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers | 38c | 2,327$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.49 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Lightning | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 56c | 2,135$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Panthers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Panthers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 44c | 1,962$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.96 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 56c | 1,927$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.24 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 44c | 1,680$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.2 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Lightning | 45c | 1,624$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.94 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lightning | 43c | 1,568$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.76 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Lightning | 44c | 1,546$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.59 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lightning | 44c | 1,509$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.15 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 44c | 1,500$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 1,432$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lightning | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Lightning | 43c | 1,321$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.14 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Panthers | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…183ebacked Lightning | 44c | 1,273$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…0789backed Panthers | 56c | 1,273$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Panthers | 33c | 1,262$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.55 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,257$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.76 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 56c | 1,250$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.5 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lightning | 43c | 1,153$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.23 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Lightning | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lightning | 42c | 1,106$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.59 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Panthers | 8c | 1,065$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 44c | 1,060$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.51 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Lightning | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Panthers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lightning | 55c | 1,000$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 43c | 999.93$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.96 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 43c | 873$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.61 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lightning | 60c | 848$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.38 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Panthers | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Lightning | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lightning | 44c | 722$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Panthers | 56c | 686.46$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.8 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Lightning | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2da…1416backed Panthers | 53c | 663.63$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…38f1backed Panthers | 53c | 644.77$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Lightning | 65c | 644.66$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.92 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Panthers | 38c | 596.91$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 54c | 556$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Panthers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Panthers | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Lightning | 43c | 506.23$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.55 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Lightning | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Panthers | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Lightning | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Lightning | 43c | 486.45$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.28 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 65c | 446.5$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Panthers | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…bb13backed Lightning | 78c | 434.21$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…263bbacked Panthers | 56c | 412.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9a59backed Lightning | 45c | 412.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Panthers | 37c | 403$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Panthers | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Panthers | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Panthersthis page
- Lightning vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.