Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Quentin Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0ccf874f6c00490d260e6de47900d9d54c74e2b981164d50889dbb05271f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berrettiniof Berrettini, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Halys | 12c | 3,411$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.63 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…926dbacked Halys | 12c | 3,052$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Halys | 14c | 2,310$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Berrettini | 78c | 2,026$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.62 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Halys | 7c | 1,905$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Halys | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.94 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…c7f1backed Halys | 23c | 1,136$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Berrettini | 78c | 1,124$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…e6eebacked Berrettini | 77c | 1,098$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…00eabacked Berrettini | 77c | 1,061$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d1…0a95backed Halys | 23c | 1,023$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Halys | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Halys | 22c | 999.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Halys | 13c | 971.23$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…102dbacked Halys | 23c | 726$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…5690backed Berrettini | 77c | 718$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…b248backed Berrettini | 77c | 706$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…ddaabacked Halys | 23c | 698$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Berrettini | 77c | 646.07$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Halys | 24c | 600$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Halys | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Halys | 22c | 568.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Halys | 12c | 556$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Halys | 23c | 469.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Halys | 10c | 389.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Berrettini | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Halys | 23c | 207.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…6a3bbacked Halys | 10c | 163.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…b55dbacked Halys | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Halys | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Halys | 23c | 149.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Halys | 26c | 141.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Halys | 13c | 131.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Berrettini | 77c | 131.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Berrettini | 77c | 129.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Berrettini | 77c | 129.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Berrettini | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Berrettini | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Halys | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Halys | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Halys | 23c | 109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Halys | 23c | 106.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Halys | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Halys | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Berrettini | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Halys | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Halys | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Halys | 22c | 87.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Halys | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Berrettini | 74c | 82.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Berrettini | 77c | 75.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Berrettini | 75c | 67.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Berrettini | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…e803backed Halys | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…c56cbacked Halys | 25c | 51.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Halys | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf24…0039backed Berrettini | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…fad7backed Berrettini | 76c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Berrettini | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…7d86backed Berrettini | 74c | 29.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…4448backed Berrettini | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…239abacked Berrettini | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45f…f091backed Berrettini | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 70cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…3093backed Berrettini | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…a760backed Berrettini | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…80e4backed Berrettini | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -4.2wins | -0.47per pick | 69cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…dfa9backed Berrettini | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…f3cdbacked Berrettini | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…d706backed Berrettini | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…a7e0backed Berrettini | 78c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…4a18backed Berrettini | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98a…949cbacked Berrettini | 77c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…8b15backed Berrettini | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.