TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Cavaliers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers52c14,166$7,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,366.231,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers48c13,233$6,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,941.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pacers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9534645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Cavaliers1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cavaliers56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Cavaliers52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Pacers52c3,325$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.342,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers54c2,862$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.682,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Pacers52c2,610$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.684544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers52c2,600$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35239349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Cavaliers53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32518047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers51c2,276$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.9369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Cavaliers57c2,204$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.1439051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pacers43c2,204$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.1417354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b5…0f8cbacked Cavaliers49c2,012$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Cavaliers46c1,575$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers51c1,416$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.542,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers49c1,399$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.144,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pacers51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.8441954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Cavaliers50c1,071$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.723043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a81…aa82backed Pacers50c1,003$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.51866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa216…179bbacked Cavaliers47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Cavaliers56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Pacers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pacers49c926.34$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.431,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Cavaliers53c888$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.6440243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d17…bc4cbacked Cavaliers52c873.12$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers47c823.42$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.411,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers57c810.95$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.2466853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Cavaliers55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3e…1726backed Cavaliers51c699.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked Pacers49c673.47$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.471353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea93…8159backed Cavaliers52c667.42$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Pacers49c610.2$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.23735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd8d…a108backed Cavaliers52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Cavaliers50c508$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25413748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers49c501.83$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers50c467$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.52,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers48c432.4$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8527251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers46c428.74$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.092,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Cavaliers52c396.63$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2525847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Cavaliers52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.238649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f8…bed5backed Cavaliers52c352.94$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.531154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Cavaliers52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers46c290.21$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.075,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Cavaliers52c290$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.823748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Cavaliers35c280.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.828842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387c…9188backed Cavaliers68c245.94$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.663562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Cavaliers46c236.25$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6818053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers48c233$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Cavaliers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Pacers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Pacers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa306…d699backed Pacers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024276.2%32 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Pacers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015838.6%61 W · 97 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Pacers47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.997640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Cavaliers52c197.94$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10226150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Cavaliers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Cavaliers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x655d…b758backed Cavaliers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024446.7%114 W · 130 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Cavaliers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers41c186$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.613,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6c…e935backed Pacers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4987…804bbacked Cavaliers53c181.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.23148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Cavaliers55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9995848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Cavaliers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Cavaliers53c156$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.681,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pacers49c140$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.972,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Pacers52c137.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8412245.9%56 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea41…2312backed Cavaliers52c131.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.76955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Pacers48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6513339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Cavaliers51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211951.3%61 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Cavaliers48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Cavaliers52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012550.4%63 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Pacers54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.654951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e3…cf81backed Pacers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018955%104 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Pacers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4466645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Pacers44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5635447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Pacers46c99.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8713550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Cavaliers51c97.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.596253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Cavaliers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508155.6%45 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Cavaliers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers47c87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.111,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Pacers49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4326439.4%104 W · 160 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Cavaliers52c69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8821649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers49c64.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.931,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Pacers46c56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Pacers51c55.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.072,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Pacers48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.047557.3%43 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb62…d14fbacked Cavaliers51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.77448.6%36 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Pacers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Cavaliers41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0918554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…581bbacked Cavaliers53c46.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.259165.9%60 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94a2…0c1abacked Cavaliers45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010447.1%49 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cavaliers49c43.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5280744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cavaliers51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.