NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b780e917a45d7b855ced3fea9d37c64647b73ebb3bf56612a92121061c66de2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Wizards, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $835,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $833,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Wizards | 15c | 314,183$47,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,127.38 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards | 10c | 45,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Wizards | 14c | 40,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…d2efbacked Wizards | 50c | 20,500$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349c…2d15backed Knicks | 50c | 20,500$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wizards | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.97 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 15c | 13,555$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Wizards | 14c | 12,442$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.6 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wizards | 28c | 12,414$3,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.88 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Wizards | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Wizards | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Wizards | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Wizards | 17c | 7,010$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.53 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 76c | 6,856$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.13 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Wizards | 15c | 6,700$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 16c | 6,700$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.97 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wizards | 14c | 6,493$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.08 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards | 16c | 5,858$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.71 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Wizards | 1c | 5,712$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Wizards | 13c | 5,707$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.8 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Wizards | 0c | 5,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 14c | 5,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 17c | 4,100$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Wizards | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Wizards | 29c | 3,496$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 16c | 3,136$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.12 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Wizards | 15c | 2,976$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.69 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Wizards | 5c | 2,673$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Wizards | 15c | 2,659$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.84 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…425dbacked Wizards | 17c | 2,310$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 15c | 2,235$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Wizards | 15c | 2,222$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…f175backed Wizards | 17c | 2,200$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…632cbacked Wizards | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Wizards | 21c | 1,635$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.53 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Wizards | 15c | 1,633$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7922…80bebacked Wizards | 15c | 1,519$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Wizards | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards | 16c | 1,400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,372$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Wizards | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Wizards | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Wizards | 14c | 1,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Wizards | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…bf36backed Wizards | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wizards | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Wizards | 27c | 969.72$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…0d33backed Wizards | 4c | 840$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 14c | 826.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fda…f4ebbacked Wizards | 7c | 780$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Wizards | 20c | 774.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 3c | 766.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…185ebacked Wizards | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Wizards | 14c | 668$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…adcabacked Wizards | 16c | 664.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Knicks | 80c | 624.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Wizards | 16c | 602$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…57e5backed Wizards | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec2…614ebacked Wizards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…d376backed Wizards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…926dbacked Wizards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…f918backed Wizards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards | 16c | 585.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…fe9ebacked Wizards | 16c | 573.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wizards | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Wizards | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -10.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Wizards | 16c | 500$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Wizards | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Wizards | 9c | 499.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards | 16c | 495.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…dc1bbacked Wizards | 15c | 440$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Knicks | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Wizards | 15c | 403.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…449bbacked Wizards | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…37bfbacked Wizards | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…a88ebacked Wizards | 17c | 397.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…35c4backed Wizards | 17c | 380.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Knicks | 80c | 376.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 141 | 41.1%58 W · 83 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Wizards | 16c | 374.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wizards | 15c | 369.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Wizards | 16c | 364.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Wizards | 16c | 361.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…9396backed Wizards | 17c | 356$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…8ea2backed Wizards | 17c | 322.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wizards | 16c | 316.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…74fcbacked Wizards | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…36fbbacked Wizards | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…3242backed Wizards | 16c | 306.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Wizards | 15c | 302.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Wizards | 22c | 299.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Wizards | 14c | 299.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…96fabacked Wizards | 16c | 294.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…dbcdbacked Wizards | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…8deabacked Wizards | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Knicksthis page
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.