TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Wizards, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$835,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$833,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Wizards15c314,183$47,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,127.388022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards10c45,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Wizards14c40,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9912740.2%51 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd076…d2efbacked Wizards50c20,500$10,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,250333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349c…2d15backed Knicks50c20,500$10,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Wizards16c20,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9759646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wizards15c13,555$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0372,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Wizards14c12,442$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.619249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Wizards28c12,414$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.8826038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Wizards15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Wizards15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Wizards14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.995815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Wizards17c7,010$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.5312334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks76c6,856$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.131,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Wizards15c6,700$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00518142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards16c6,700$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.9746928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Wizards14c6,493$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.0895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards16c5,858$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.7148944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Wizards1c5,712$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.23318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Wizards13c5,707$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.85339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Wizards0c5,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1434524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards14c5,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards17c4,100$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6971,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Wizards15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Wizards29c3,496$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards16c3,136$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.1282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Wizards15c2,976$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.6912160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Wizards5c2,673$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12116325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Wizards15c2,659$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.846145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e12…425dbacked Wizards17c2,310$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.71010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-82.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards15c2,235$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.251,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Wizards15c2,222$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.310235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x428e…f175backed Wizards17c2,200$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…632cbacked Wizards15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Wizards3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Wizards21c1,635$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.5338151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Wizards15c1,633$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9734942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7922…80bebacked Wizards15c1,519$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Wizards14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards16c1,400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.951,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Wizards17c1,372$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Wizards15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards2c1,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Wizards12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Wizards10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Wizards14c1,000$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14524330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Wizards29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a3…bf36backed Wizards15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wizards13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Wizards27c969.72$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26024634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…0d33backed Wizards4c840$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.12330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards14c826.8$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fda…f4ebbacked Wizards7c780$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.74729.8%14 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Wizards20c774.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15529037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Wizards3c766.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.357502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2936…185ebacked Wizards17c705.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Wizards14c668$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5215945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de2…adcabacked Wizards16c664.48$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.14944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Knicks80c624.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1255947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Wizards16c602$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6628940.8%118 W · 171 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41dc…57e5backed Wizards15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec2…614ebacked Wizards17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d98…d376backed Wizards17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77dd…926dbacked Wizards17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d97…f918backed Wizards17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards16c585.97$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7624634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd287…fe9ebacked Wizards16c573.88$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wizards15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7545647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Wizards17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855722.8%13 W · 44 L-10.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Wizards16c500$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828030%24 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Wizards16c499.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfd…3462backed Wizards9c499.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452544%11 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Wizards16c495.72$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3227840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked Wizards15c440$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.28846.6%41 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Knicks46c434$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3639018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Wizards15c403.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.66750.7%34 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b06…449bbacked Wizards17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6a…37bfbacked Wizards17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3991…a88ebacked Wizards17c397.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe302…35c4backed Wizards17c380.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Knicks80c376.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6714141.1%58 W · 83 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Wizards16c374.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wizards15c369.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4530249.3%149 W · 153 L+33.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Wizards16c364.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3712143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x349e…1654backed Wizards16c361.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6810431.7%33 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f4…9396backed Wizards17c356$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.52850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa691…8ea2backed Wizards17c322.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards16c316.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x289c…74fcbacked Wizards16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506558.5%38 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d7…36fbbacked Wizards16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502520%5 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db9…3242backed Wizards16c306.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84eb…869dbacked Wizards15c302.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.432626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Wizards22c299.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9950453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Wizards14c299.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428733.3%29 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fa…96fabacked Wizards16c294.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbef4…dbcdbacked Wizards17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa348…8deabacked Wizards17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.