Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kosovo vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0528c989c8cc778c3ea37efa886bd8c2ddf1014664b8cb87f7761e08ade914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 12,817$6,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,432.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 26c | 11,249$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.74 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 73c | 3,250$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.67 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 2,044$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.64 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 2,023$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.97 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 29c | 1,547$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cc…1934backed Yes | 28c | 1,434$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…4b27backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 27c | 317.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…397bbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 284.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…631fbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 193.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…7aa1backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 24c | 153.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 139.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 49c | 134.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5b46backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…9e1bbacked Yes | 18c | 108.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 105.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 28c | 104.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…67e2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 86.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 73c | 79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 71c | 79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 72c | 77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…5a2abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 33c | 45.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 74c | 39.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…e358backed Yes | 55c | 28.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…70febacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 24.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…d5f0backed Yes | 64c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kosovo vs. Switzerland end in a draw?this page
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-18?No won
- Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.