NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db6bd257cf0033c34862d84564515859ab4106a26f7f7b42ed48258e6f94d10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4395…6fe5backed Under | 45c | 5,524$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…897ebacked Under | 45c | 5,436$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3c76backed Under | 45c | 5,428$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…6d0cbacked Under | 45c | 5,416$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9d…8c50backed Under | 45c | 5,249$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b39cbacked Under | 45c | 5,239$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcf…2f08backed Under | 45c | 4,655$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…741ebacked Under | 45c | 4,468$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…823ebacked Under | 45c | 3,865$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4563…c9b7backed Over | 55c | 3,756$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 3,184$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf771…3140backed Over | 55c | 3,052$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…665fbacked Under | 45c | 2,723$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f38…d6febacked Over | 55c | 2,723$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…f424backed Over | 55c | 2,713$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 55c | 2,233$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 2,080$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.4 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,071$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 2,015$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.74 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba6…5534backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…ae67backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6382…fbdbbacked Over | 55c | 1,984$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…430dbacked Over | 55c | 1,973$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34bf…70a1backed Over | 55c | 1,968$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d0…4ff7backed Over | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…2658backed Over | 55c | 1,938$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…61bdbacked Over | 55c | 1,889$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…f08bbacked Over | 55c | 1,847$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…e3a7backed Over | 55c | 1,823$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…6785backed Over | 55c | 1,804$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…d554backed Over | 55c | 1,739$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e9…8108backed Over | 55c | 1,667$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…c4bebacked Over | 55c | 1,659$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…fe51backed Over | 55c | 1,635$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…6c3bbacked Over | 55c | 1,569$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…5690backed Over | 55c | 1,526$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,522$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 1,509$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.8 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc544…ff3ebacked Over | 55c | 1,325$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…92bbbacked Over | 55c | 1,321$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 56c | 1,170$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 44c | 968.66$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.28 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 862.84$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.62 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6a…5cdbbacked Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…7252backed Over | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…9db5backed Over | 55c | 768$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…d6e3backed Over | 55c | 621$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 31c | 617.05$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…cbc4backed Over | 55c | 422$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…c559backed Over | 55c | 288$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Under | 78c | 223.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 219.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 138.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 59c | 85.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 44c | 72.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…4954backed Under | 46c | 57.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 51.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…d3efbacked Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 44c | 40.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 45c | 38.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Under | 51c | 28.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 44c | 26.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 53c | 19.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Hawks won
- Suns vs. HawksHawks won
- Suns vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.