NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb26984b5455e2cb79e24b6d9c57d7e4596b4ca80562634ea467ef84e38c1e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc23…5690backed Under | 43c | 5,811$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…6c3bbacked Under | 43c | 5,122$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…e3a7backed Under | 43c | 4,952$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…ae67backed Under | 43c | 4,655$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…430dbacked Under | 43c | 4,488$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d0…4ff7backed Under | 43c | 4,352$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…f08bbacked Over | 57c | 3,759$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…5894backed Over | 57c | 3,350$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a501backed Over | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6382…fbdbbacked Over | 57c | 3,178$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…61bdbacked Over | 57c | 3,112$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…7252backed Under | 43c | 3,100$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…2658backed Over | 57c | 2,898$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6a…5cdbbacked Under | 43c | 2,850$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…c4bebacked Over | 57c | 2,610$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…36e7backed Under | 43c | 2,552$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4585…38c1backed Under | 43c | 2,544$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…cb09backed Over | 57c | 2,542$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34bf…70a1backed Over | 57c | 2,542$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…df0dbacked Over | 57c | 2,536$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…468ebacked Under | 43c | 2,533$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…8024backed Over | 57c | 2,533$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…d445backed Over | 57c | 2,511$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…acd2backed Under | 43c | 2,493$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…665fbacked Over | 57c | 2,163$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f38…d6febacked Under | 43c | 2,163$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…04c6backed Under | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…e752backed Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b39cbacked Over | 57c | 1,752$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…897ebacked Over | 57c | 1,652$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…d554backed Over | 57c | 1,422$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…6d0cbacked Over | 57c | 1,321$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e9…8108backed Over | 57c | 1,302$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9d…8c50backed Over | 57c | 1,211$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172f…369abacked Under | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…6fe5backed Over | 57c | 855$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ae…6f43backed Under | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…93f0backed Over | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3c76backed Over | 57c | 752$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…fe51backed Over | 57c | 688$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 674.36$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…01debacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 351.73$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 320$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 57c | 280.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 41c | 275.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 255.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…6785backed Over | 57c | 226$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…c0c4backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…b081backed Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 57c | 97.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Over | 57c | 81.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc544…ff3ebacked Over | 57c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…69dabacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba6…5534backed Over | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 35.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 29.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f95…da08backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Hawks won
- Suns vs. HawksHawks won
- Suns vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.