NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x381f5072ebb11837b75e031f25ceaed768698f99ff05af81967d0b0b2f1db4da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Suns, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 47c | 43,113$20,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,645.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns | 53c | 26,415$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Suns | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfc…dd0fbacked Suns | 52c | 6,425$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aed…2965backed Hawks | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Suns | 52c | 6,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.96 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…683cbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…64ebbacked Suns | 52c | 5,050$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d05…8a23backed Suns | 52c | 4,700$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…7b43backed Hawks | 48c | 4,600$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…6c48backed Suns | 52c | 4,555$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…ef01backed Suns | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3d55backed Hawks | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…5181backed Suns | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…9f3abacked Suns | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…d361backed Hawks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…7b3abacked Suns | 52c | 3,703$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515b…18c4backed Hawks | 48c | 3,700$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hawks | 48c | 3,659$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.55 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Suns | 60c | 3,335$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.31 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 40c | 3,011$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…293ebacked Hawks | 48c | 2,987$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…29b9backed Suns | 52c | 2,987$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…b596backed Hawks | 48c | 2,880$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6696…7e3abacked Hawks | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Hawks | 47c | 2,466$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Suns | 53c | 2,466$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.94 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…eb82backed Hawks | 48c | 2,350$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f1…6ff8backed Hawks | 48c | 2,345$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 47c | 2,254$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0b…c760backed Hawks | 48c | 2,233$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Suns | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…a03bbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,089$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4065…7c55backed Suns | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Hawks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…65c4backed Hawks | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hawks | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hawks | 48c | 1,669$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.67 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…3813backed Suns | 52c | 1,515$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…79f8backed Hawks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…f1a9backed Hawks | 48c | 1,419$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Suns | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…a7f6backed Suns | 52c | 1,323$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9080…d00abacked Hawks | 48c | 1,308$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…b2d5backed Suns | 52c | 1,122$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…c014backed Suns | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Hawks | 49c | 1,072$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.65 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Hawks | 50c | 1,062$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.22 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…e720backed Suns | 52c | 1,047$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…5c0cbacked Suns | 52c | 1,022$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…23e2backed Hawks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dd…6b6abacked Hawks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Suns | 52c | 940$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e56…5bd2backed Suns | 52c | 909$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Hawks | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7939…8b42backed Suns | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Suns | 51c | 881.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.81 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…87c3backed Suns | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe357…3e57backed Suns | 52c | 737$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 47c | 665.4$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.38 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Suns | 51c | 610$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Hawks | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Hawks | 47c | 546.35$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 47c | 426.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Hawks | 49c | 417.08$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe430…93eabacked Suns | 52c | 411$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Suns | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Suns | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…33b4backed Suns | 52c | 299.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…36f3backed Hawks | 47c | 288$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c41…9611backed Hawks | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hawks | 47c | 258.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf656…ab23backed Hawks | 47c | 232$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Hawks | 47c | 215.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Suns | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Hawks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Hawks | 49c | 202.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 49c | 197.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…608cbacked Suns | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Hawks | 49c | 169.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Hawks | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 51c | 146.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 52c | 126$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Hawks | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 48c | 111.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Hawks | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Suns | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Suns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Suns | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…8b14backed Suns | 61c | 91.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Suns | 52c | 71.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hawks | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…3ca6backed Suns | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Suns | 50c | 68.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hawks | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Hawks won
- Suns vs. HawksHawks won
- Suns vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.