TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$220,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66cc…7135backed Under52c17,000$8,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,175.9621250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over52c14,571$7,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,576.9248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c12,928$6,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,325.882,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c9,126$4,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,745.592,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc544…ff3ebacked Under50c5,484$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172f…369abacked Over50c5,444$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,722333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1838…d3efbacked Over50c5,414$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe8…92bbbacked Over50c5,396$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7983…cbc4backed Over50c5,308$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ba6…5534backed Under50c5,294$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ca…fe51backed Under50c5,293$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e9…8108backed Under50c5,272$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7985…6785backed Under50c5,211$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6013…d554backed Under50c5,106$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb37…04c6backed Over50c4,956$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c4,632$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c9…a42fbacked Under50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c4,118$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…df04backed Over50c4,014$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146f…f21bbacked Under50c4,013$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ae…6f43backed Over50c3,550$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b86…d2a7backed Under50c3,400$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…f1a9backed Over50c3,313$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da5…93f0backed Over50c3,300$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1806…b2d5backed Under50c3,213$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4d…a7f6backed Under50c3,203$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over55c3,069$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.7435747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0445…be30backed Under50c3,015$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69d1…3ef2backed Under50c2,833$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbee0…52bdbacked Under50c2,818$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4095100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e80…e720backed Under50c2,811$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf7…86a7backed Under50c2,709$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36a7…665fbacked Under50c2,658$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f38…d6febacked Over50c2,658$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c2,635$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.594,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafb4…8f14backed Under50c2,615$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7544…c8b1backed Under50c2,614$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x296b…407ebacked Over50c2,611$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4585…38c1backed Under50c2,586$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8789…c7c4backed Over50c2,585$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8c…8024backed Over50c2,574$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99b0…df08backed Over50c2,574$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9221…3dfdbacked Under50c2,574$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x173f…1389backed Over50c2,573$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb271…e46ebacked Over50c2,570$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8356…6140backed Over50c2,570$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9007…5712backed Under50c2,568$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca5…df0dbacked Over50c2,568$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27dd…468ebacked Under50c2,566$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…035cbacked Over50c2,563$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf424…d2febacked Under50c2,563$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538e…8205backed Over50c2,555$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f9…cb09backed Over50c2,553$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…acd2backed Under50c2,551$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a2…d445backed Over50c2,544$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8168…2114backed Over50c2,542$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7060…fa26backed Under50c2,541$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8125…9a0ebacked Over50c2,541$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae78…bba8backed Over50c2,537$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd427…3528backed Over50c2,536$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d0…36e7backed Under50c2,536$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f7…8413backed Over50c2,534$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d6…cc88backed Over50c2,534$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2331…12f0backed Under50c2,532$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4419…d0b1backed Under50c2,524$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…de61backed Over50c2,523$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c52…834fbacked Under50c2,522$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ca…c2abbacked Under50c2,521$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…deb6backed Over50c2,515$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7623…a9f4backed Over50c2,512$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcfa…13b0backed Over50c2,512$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9da7…a88abacked Over50c2,489$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7149…e329backed Under50c2,485$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591b…8618backed Under50c2,485$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c52…0dc1backed Over50c2,474$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…eacabacked Over50c2,458$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…d45dbacked Under50c2,456$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe37f…6dc8backed Over50c2,442$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9f…dcdabacked Under50c2,436$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7d…abd8backed Over50c2,436$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc49…4172backed Under50c2,433$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd24…b6b2backed Over50c2,261$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over48c2,187$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b4…033ebacked Under50c2,077$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb78…1da6backed Under50c2,063$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9119…ec82backed Under50c2,052$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…7cccbacked Under50c2,052$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf243…39e0backed Under50c2,041$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a2…b2c1backed Under50c2,041$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f4b…284abacked Under50c2,036$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0183100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…4458backed Under50c2,036$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c56…b34ebacked Over50c2,033$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb793…cac9backed Under50c2,032$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0163100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4353backed Under50c2,025$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…a03bbacked Over50c2,003$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67aa…61bdbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74a9…c559backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5d…6c3bbacked Over50c1,999$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fcf…2f08backed Under50c1,962$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.