NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4da94af5b03c106a91f2bbfebac8b127051ca526cac442acaa38482fb535613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Suns, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Hawks | 53c | 119,998$63,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,399.03 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Suns | 49c | 115,000$56,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,350 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 51c | 114,348$58,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,030.34 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Suns | 47c | 57,000$26,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,790 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 47c | 47,500$22,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,325 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hawks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Suns | 48c | 7,534$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.35 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Suns | 48c | 6,767$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.09 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Suns | 47c | 6,240$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.8 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Suns | 47c | 5,928$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.16 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 47c | 5,544$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…c014backed Hawks | 51c | 5,438$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…9551backed Hawks | 51c | 5,421$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 48c | 5,388$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.87 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Hawks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…02f3backed Hawks | 51c | 4,976$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4065…7c55backed Hawks | 51c | 4,926$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 46c | 4,827$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.6 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hawks | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Suns | 47c | 4,749$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks | 52c | 4,401$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.16 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…fa2fbacked Hawks | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…3cccbacked Hawks | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…2ad2backed Hawks | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…43cfbacked Hawks | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd9…fe8dbacked Suns | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Suns | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Suns | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…5626backed Suns | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…abbdbacked Hawks | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…2353backed Suns | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hawks | 52c | 3,591$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.72 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 48c | 2,928$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.44 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Hawks | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…407ebacked Suns | 49c | 2,739$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a88abacked Suns | 49c | 2,688$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…13b0backed Suns | 49c | 2,574$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6dc8backed Suns | 49c | 2,574$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…b2c1backed Hawks | 51c | 2,574$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…d0b1backed Hawks | 51c | 2,563$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…8618backed Hawks | 51c | 2,563$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4353backed Hawks | 51c | 2,563$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…5712backed Hawks | 51c | 2,557$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d6…cc88backed Suns | 49c | 2,556$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9f…dcdabacked Hawks | 51c | 2,548$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…3dfdbacked Hawks | 51c | 2,543$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…d45dbacked Hawks | 51c | 2,543$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…eacabacked Suns | 49c | 2,542$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…2114backed Suns | 49c | 2,541$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…e329backed Hawks | 51c | 2,540$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c52…0dc1backed Suns | 49c | 2,536$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…035cbacked Suns | 49c | 2,532$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd24…b6b2backed Suns | 49c | 2,525$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…abd8backed Suns | 49c | 2,525$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…4172backed Hawks | 51c | 2,523$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4b…284abacked Hawks | 51c | 2,516$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…7cccbacked Hawks | 51c | 2,512$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Suns | 48c | 2,446$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 52c | 2,215$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.52 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…6140backed Suns | 49c | 2,053$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…df08backed Suns | 49c | 2,042$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…4458backed Suns | 49c | 2,036$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…a9f4backed Suns | 49c | 2,022$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…8413backed Suns | 49c | 2,012$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dd…6b6abacked Suns | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 46c | 1,979$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…6215backed Suns | 49c | 1,944$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 47c | 1,897$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.16 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b86…d2a7backed Suns | 49c | 1,885$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…9f3abacked Suns | 49c | 1,876$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ae…6f43backed Suns | 49c | 1,857$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 47c | 1,827$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…7b43backed Suns | 49c | 1,816$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 53c | 1,712$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bd…bee3backed Suns | 49c | 1,693$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…65c4backed Suns | 49c | 1,638$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…93f0backed Suns | 49c | 1,592$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3d55backed Suns | 49c | 1,567$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…86a7backed Hawks | 51c | 1,562$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 54c | 1,496$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.16 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…ef01backed Suns | 49c | 1,472$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…834fbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,454$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…a42fbacked Suns | 49c | 1,426$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…c8b1backed Hawks | 51c | 1,323$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 31c | 1,310$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Suns | 48c | 1,310$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.9 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6104…e263backed Hawks | 51c | 1,256$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…174cbacked Suns | 49c | 1,230$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Hawks | 52c | 1,171$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.07 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Hawks | 53c | 1,168$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.92 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…52bdbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,121$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc24…33d1backed Hawks | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Suns | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf47…6a00backed Hawks | 51c | 889$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Hawks | 53c | 778.3$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.58 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Suns | 48c | 708.33$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Suns | 48c | 700$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 50c | 640$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Hawks won
- Suns vs. HawksHawks won
- Suns vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Suns vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.