NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20273baad01cd8633a5468a633ed0d807c3fbcb519c3a7bbe156a867bf92fe38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 6c | 32,380$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.77 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 54c | 19,971$10,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,720.36 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 8,408$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 43c | 6,289$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.59 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Over | 39c | 4,346$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 3,757$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Over | 58c | 2,852$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.34 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 2,399$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.79 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 8c | 2,050$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Over | 57c | 1,762$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.62 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 61c | 1,540$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.8 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,345$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,029$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 6c | 1,029$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 61c | 1,019$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.41 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 935.36$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…2637backed Over | 31c | 578.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 494.79$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 42c | 474.49$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 6c | 460.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 51c | 419.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.16 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Over | 52c | 310.88$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…a46cbacked Over | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 44c | 279.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 41c | 274.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 269.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 261.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 63c | 249.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…e809backed Over | 48c | 243.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 36c | 209.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…2dbbbacked Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 70c | 174.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 46c | 164.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 36c | 161.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 149.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 57c | 141.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 60c | 122.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 50c | 118.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…d2adbacked Under | 41c | 112$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 103.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 44c | 101.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Over | 62c | 80.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 28c | 80.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7182…ec61backed Over | 61c | 78.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 64c | 78.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Over | 58c | 64.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 59.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Over | 58c | 57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 33c | 52.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 51.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 58c | 50.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Over | 58c | 45.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 44c | 43.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Under | 43c | 41.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 66c | 32.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…b387backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 28.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Over | 58c | 25.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 53c | 22.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…77dfbacked Over | 58c | 20.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9d31backed Over | 63c | 19.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5this page
- Celtics vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.