NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x666f9ce1ea6b118ebef77bc77a92816dc859df221396d479ba868ee4bd191843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Celtics, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Celtics | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,400 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 58,391$29,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,611.36 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Celtics | 48c | 33,019$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,718.51 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 31,491$16,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,015.68 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 13,112$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,031.52 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Celtics | 46c | 9,778$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.88 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…b9b0backed Celtics | 47c | 3,445$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,437$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.53 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Celtics | 46c | 3,334$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,576$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.93 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 46c | 1,528$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 48c | 1,023$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.04 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Celtics | 47c | 1,022$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.31 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Celtics | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 48c | 839.67$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 798.14$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.45 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 659.93$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 46c | 478$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 452.08$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Celtics | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Celtics | 46c | 296.58$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 50c | 236.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 221.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…4085backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 163.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 158.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 53c | 143.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Celtics | 48c | 141.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…f03cbacked Celtics | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc863…68fbbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Celtics | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada7…9986backed Celtics | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 93.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 83.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 51c | 78.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 73.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Celtics | 58c | 65.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…e672backed Celtics | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Celtics | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Celtics | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…93a5backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 49.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 43.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 35.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Celtics | 60c | 34.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 42c | 32.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…922ebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 27.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Celtics | 59c | 25.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…a1e4backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)this page
- Celtics vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.