NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x043d4856b893d85e2680212493d4824581d5d4ccad6a693a1d736e1f08bfcea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 5,291$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.54 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…60bcbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…d157backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 57c | 871.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 635$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.85 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 629.18$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.52 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 440.1$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 185.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 51c | 157.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 45c | 143.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 57c | 131.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 131.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 49c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 53c | 97.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 90.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…36d9backed Over | 57c | 90.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…5d26backed Over | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…e809backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Under | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 42.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…0951backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…6e4abacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…fbc2backed Over | 53c | 24.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 49c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5this page
- Celtics vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.