NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00fb07d2aca14a99c8f030c01cd7b4dc846e86b15d1e2173da64d2e0d43f960d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,451$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.16 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 49c | 2,061$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…b9b0backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 866.03$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.34 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 499.47$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.73 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 54c | 339$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 336$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 295$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 278.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 52c | 178.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Under | 53c | 48.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 42.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Under | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5this page
- Celtics vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.