NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x883b0e8ed739dec3378caaeca5fdf10405c04468857aae7cdb545e0fcc9dfba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 12,299$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.67 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Over | 59c | 8,772$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 50c | 8,391$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.24 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.06 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 4,502$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 4,122$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 51c | 3,927$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 2,574$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Over | 47c | 2,189$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,707$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.64 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 1,480$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 1,400$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 1,330$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 1,005$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.3 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 971$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.03 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 969$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 922.04$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.02 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 909.9$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.75 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 50c | 889$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 49c | 605.52$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 598$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 549$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 47c | 538.3$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 507.9$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.3 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…85fdbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 55c | 295.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 49c | 265.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Over | 54c | 261.89$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 205.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Over | 50c | 191.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Under | 47c | 172$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 144.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0854…fb45backed Over | 42c | 134.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…d2adbacked Under | 46c | 132$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 110.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 48c | 101.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 49c | 101.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 59c | 99.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 55c | 99.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Under | 51c | 78.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 60c | 70.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 45c | 66.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Over | 47c | 63.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 40c | 50.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 45c | 47.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…8059backed Over | 49c | 29.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Over | 50c | 26.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 50c | 26.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 46c | 26.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 50c | 21.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…4606backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…6e4abacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5this page
- Celtics vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.