Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebdbd7acc888cf62e71d38a41b2d9aa136b26feedc19672da869b8a5f3937f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 9,008$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.1 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 6,753$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.87 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 77c | 6,099$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.8 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 5,706$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.9 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,348$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.24 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 2,560$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.62 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 65c | 1,533$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.31 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 1,313$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked Yes | 1c | 1,189$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 31c | 1,100$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.21 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed No | 77c | 1,087$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,083$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 66c | 944.14$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 596.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed No | 77c | 563.3$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 531.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 19c | 443.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 25c | 440.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 22c | 302.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Yes | 14c | 262.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Yes | 23c | 221.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 24c | 213$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 41c | 188$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 23c | 176.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 17c | 171.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 14c | 162$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 30c | 141.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 23c | 122$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 22c | 114.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2b…dde9backed Yes | 19c | 113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 86.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 40c | 65.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Yes | 31c | 64.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed No | 75c | 52.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…1105backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…832dbacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked No | 78c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 67c | 21.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…a9e9backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.