Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f817bb00d274634428be876dbc221362d4c9e5339a0231c8706f3b05c06edb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 53c | 9,433$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.39 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 19c | 8,267$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.93 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 20c | 2,315$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.13 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 2,140$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 6c | 1,607$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.87 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 12c | 1,513$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.1 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 7c | 1,391$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.71 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 5c | 1,200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.16 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 6c | 894.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 6c | 808.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.59 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 5c | 772.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.62 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…dbf9backed No | 12c | 676.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +823.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 3c | 605.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 26c | 410.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 5c | 337.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.88 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 15c | 335.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.92 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 7c | 243.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 215.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 194$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 179$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 143.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 27c | 131.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 47c | 127.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 68c | 98.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 48c | 73.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 68c | 73.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 67.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x508c…2e81backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 47c | 52.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 41c | 48.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 51c | 47.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 70c | 47.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Yes | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 28.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 73c | 27.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-01-23?No won
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.