NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08c6597b205949748175394c353d7d77b00ddee06e28e48f4711db4cc1d99da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 51c | 89,789$45,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,996.69 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 52c | 52,363$27,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,274.54 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 26,537$13,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,040.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 17,500$8,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,575 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 49c | 16,378$8,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,025 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 49c | 15,897$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.4 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 49c | 14,118$6,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.82 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 13,636$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.88 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 12,638$6,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,108.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 6,372$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.2 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 49c | 5,302$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 4,801$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 4,559$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.09 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Over | 50c | 4,150$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,714$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,300$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.88 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 1,130$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.69 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 50c | 985$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.5 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 891$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.68 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 830.63$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 776$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.24 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 49c | 748.98$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 39c | 744.15$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 52c | 476.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.76 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Over | 60c | 429.92$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under | 49c | 392.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 389$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 52c | 381.52$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.27 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 358.61$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 71c | 240$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 15c | 179.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 19c | 154.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Under | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 26c | 91.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 50c | 85.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 49c | 61.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 48c | 58.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Over | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 32c | 52.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc035…5414backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…bfe7backed Under | 48c | 24.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Under | 48c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 53c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5this page
- Knicks vs. Trail BlazersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.