NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5286a29b9f1c65bf8d40b97863b90172867be8155d640c23c2d3a125c1ead322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $541,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $553,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Knicks | 51c | 359,381$182,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,749.16 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 273,047$133,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,792.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 142,060$71,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,429.57 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Knicks | 50c | 90,494$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,493.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 17,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 9,438$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Knicks | 49c | 8,998$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.39 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Knicks | 47c | 5,607$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.45 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 48c | 5,583$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,400$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,219$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 4,024$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 50c | 3,142$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 51c | 2,978$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 48c | 2,730$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,725$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,638$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Knicks | 49c | 1,347$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.94 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,276$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.27 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,175$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.87 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,092$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.65 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…8645backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 962$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Knicks | 47c | 938.3$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.3 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 913.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b6…ac69backed Knicks | 57c | 851.18$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 47c | 808.76$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.35 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Knicks | 49c | 611$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.61 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Knicks | 47c | 600.01$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 500.5$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.07 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0c4abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 493.04$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.24 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 450$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.49 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 445$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.95 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…92b2backed Knicks | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 369.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Knicks | 48c | 360.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 334$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 324$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Knicks | 48c | 313$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Knicks | 47c | 276.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 52c | 274.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 262.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Knicks | 60c | 243.08$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 223.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 48c | 220.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Knicks | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Knicks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 199.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…f14cbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a870backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 158.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Knicks | 49c | 149.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 149.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 149.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 129.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Knicks | 56c | 122.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 118.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…0a6abacked Knicks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Knicks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 96.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 82.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 75.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…f254backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 73.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Knicks | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ecfabacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 57.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Knicks | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 44.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Knicks | 49c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 39.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)this page
- Knicks vs. Trail BlazersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.