NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd681ced1a97b59cdcba3452fc865f3fdad2f1a93716d43d518c42e3208924b0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 52c | 6,456$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.37 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f21…cb2cbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 5,529$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 5c | 5,350$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.14 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3ea1backed Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 2,890$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.53 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 2,874$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.28 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…39aabacked Under | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 2,192$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 1,222$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,202$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.91 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,182$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.65 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 656.87$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 37c | 650.75$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.38 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Over | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 36c | 593.5$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 46c | 559.25$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 59c | 509.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.81 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 41c | 474.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.23 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 50c | 397.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…254ebacked Over | 47c | 342.47$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 39c | 335.5$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 332.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 50c | 305.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 298.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 59c | 279$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 56c | 253$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 45c | 209$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 51c | 195.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 194.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 51c | 177$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…4282backed Under | 56c | 161.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1271…a720backed Under | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 52c | 89.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 42c | 58.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Under | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 33c | 57.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 42c | 56.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Over | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 42.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 58c | 40.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 58c | 40.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…5817backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Under | 51c | 36.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -11.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 30c | 35.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 40c | 35.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…9813backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 21.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…332abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Over | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5this page
- Knicks vs. Trail BlazersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.