NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2301246be53b80a2fe10373f1fbec0a985a39c0202c6493aee969258ca2ae833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 9,009$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 51c | 4,878$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.84 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 4,603$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 1,886$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.35 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,596$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,540$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 52c | 1,515$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.79 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,400$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.46 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.27 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 52c | 1,026$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.64 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 632.02$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 47c | 431$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 382.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.73 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 307.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Under | 54c | 277.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 266$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 133.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed Under | 46c | 126.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 113.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 91.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 65.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 31.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 31.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 47c | 25.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5this page
- Knicks vs. Trail BlazersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.